Sunday 30 June 2013

Wimbledon 4th Round Womens Predictions, Day 7: Serena-Lisicki, Robson-Kanepi and more...

1. Serena Williams v Sabine Lisicki
Serena Williams
Serena Williams will face her biggest test of the Championships so far against Sabine Lisicki.  The former Wimbledon semi-finalist made a slow start to her third round match with Sam Stosur, but improved with each set to post a 4-6 6-2 6-1 win.  Lisicki really struggled on return and could not deal with Stosur's slice in the first set; however she seemed to almost flick a switch in the second set and the rest was history.  Serena thrashed Kimiko Date-Krumm, 6-2 6-0, but it was still a fantastic effort from the 42-year-old, who got her wish to play under the roof again and played some stunning points in the first set.

Serena has won her two previous matches with Lisicki; one was a complete domination in Stanford and the other was via a retirement.  Lisicki will go into this match with absolutely nothing to lose and she is one of the few players who I think has belief she can do this.  She wears her heart on her sleeve and that will get the crowd involved and fully behind her.  I genuinely believe this will be Serena's toughest match of the week and that Sabine will get the world number one on the ropes, long enough at least to grab a set.

Prediction - Serena to beat Lisicki in 3 sets

2. Laura Robson v Kaia Kanepi
When the draw came out, my heart sunk at the prospect of Laura Robson having to face Maria Kirilenko in the first round.  However a sensational performance against an albeit crocked opponent in round one created a cavernous opening in her section of the draw.  Robson had a smash-and-grab win over Marina Erakovic in round three, who served for the match at 6-1 5-4, but was unable to hold her nerve.  Laura, cheered on empatically by the No.2 Court crowd, came roaring back to book her place in the last 16.  Robson now takes on Kaia Kanepi, who has looked in sensational form this week, taking out Angelique Kerber in round two and the in-form American, Alison Riske in round three.  On most occasions, Kanepi would be my favourite for this match.  However the Estonian is known for her struggles at closing out matches and there is no doubt that this the crowd will have a big factor in this match.  I really question how Kanepi will cope with the situation and this is Wimbledon, and Laura's on a roll... come on Laura!

Prediction - Robson to beat Kanepi in 3 sets

3. Agnieszka Radwanska v Tsvetana Pironkova
Tsvetana Pironkova
Last year's Wimbledon finalist, Agnieszka Radwanska had her hands full with Madison Keys on Saturday, dropping the middle set, but coming through in a fantastic third round match, 7-5 4-6 6-3.  Keys showed that she has the talent and mentality to succeed on the tour and particularly on this surface too as she hit a whopping 67 winners.  Radwanska now takes on the grass-court GOAT, Tsvetana Pironkova.  The former Wimbledon semi-finalist has taken full advantage of a slack draw and she booked her place in the last 16 with an at-times shaky win over Petra Martic, 6-1 4-6 6-2.  Pironkova loves the grass and always saves her best tennis at Wimbledon.  Her game just fits on this surface and for that reason, she is a threat to anyone.  Radwanska and Pironkova have similar games, which do not solely rely on baseline power, which will make this an intriguing affair.  Pironkova won their most recent match-up on grass at Eastbourne last year, but this is a Grand Slam and I'm going Aga...

Prediction - Radwanska to beat Pironkova in 2 tight sets

4. Carla Suarez Navarro v Petra Kvitova
The bottom half looked in big danger of losing its highest seed on Saturday, but Petra Kvitova brought her best tennis to the show as she recovered from a 1-2 third set deficit to beat Ekaterina Makarova, 6-3 2-6 6-3.  Kvitova now takes on Carla Suarez Navarro in the 4th round, which should be a fascinating match-up of two completely different styles of tennis.  Suarez has made the last 16 at Wimbledon and has become one of the most reliable and consistent players on the tour this year.  Kvitova leads the head-to-head by 4 wins to 1 including a 6-3 6-2 win on the lightning fast courts of Brisbane.  Suarez Navarro has a beautiful game, but it appears, and I still say this with an urge of caution, that things could be clicking in place for Petra, who remains the only player in the draw who could legitimately give Serena a competitive match for the title.
Prediction - Kvitova to beat Suarez Navarro in 2 tight sets

5. Sloane Stephens v Monica Puig

Monica Puig
One of the reasons that the womens draw is much more promising than the mens draw is that there are some really talented up-and-comers still left in the draw and this match-up between Sloane Stephens and Monica Puig fits that bill.  Sloane looked to be heading out of the tournament, but she took advantage of a minor meltdown from Petra Cetkovska to progress through a crazy encounter (and that's not good crazy), 7-6(3) 0-6 6-4.  Puig doesn't seem to have the perfect game for grass, but she has bundles of fight and tenacity and she used that to her advantage to recover from a set and a break deficit to beat Eva Birnerova.  This will be a first career match-up and I think all the different variables within this match favour Sloane...

Prediction - Stephens to beat Puig in 3 sets

6. Li Na v Roberta Vinci
The only womens match that has held form with the seeding is the one out on court 3 between Li Na and Roberta Vinci.  Both have had their struggles as Vinci was taken into extra time by Jana Cepelova in the second round (9-7 in the third set), meanwhile Li has had two consecutive three setters including an epic with Klara Zakopalova in the third round, which she won 4-6 0-6 8-6.  Contrary to popular belief that Vinci loves the clay, it's the grass that suits her game the best.  She has a great chance of making quarters here, but will have to overcome a 0-3 deficit in the head-to-head.  I am still not convinced by Li this week, but she seems to be getting the job done.  A tough one to call, but I am taking a risk...

Prediction - Vinci to beat Li in 3 sets

7. Kirsten Flipkens v Flavia Pennetta
Flavia Pennetta
A rematch of a first round match at this year's Roland Garros will grace the last 16 of Wimbledon.  Kirsten Flipkens has had three straight sets wins, meanwhile her 4th round opponent, Flavia Pennetta had a very dramatic third round match against Alize Cornet, recovering from a first set bagel and losing a huge second set lead to eventually win, 0-6 7-6 6-2.  Flipkens beat Pennetta on her best surface of clay in Paris and I am confident that Flipkens will win this comfortably.

Prediction - Flipkens to beat Pennetta in 2 sets

8. Marion Bartoli v Karin Knapp
As all the seeds evacuate the bottom half of the draw, Marion Bartoli is seizing the day and is arguably playing her best tennis of 2013 so far.  She toughed out another tight two setter yesterday in her third round match against Camila Giorgi.  Her opponent in the 4th round is Karin Knapp, who defeated Lucie Safarova in round two and Michelle Larcher de Brito, Sharapova's screaming conqueror, in round three.  I think this will be a relatively straightforward win for Bartoli...

Prediction - Bartoli to beat Knapp in 2 sets

You can view my original predictions for the womens draw here.  I have actually done not bad as I correctly predicted Riske, Erakovic, Pironkova and Keys all to R3 and then Pironkova and Flipkens to R4.

5 comments:

  1. Your prediction - Robson to beat Kanepi = I do not

    The public is a double-edged sword !

    Robson it is resistant to pressure?
    (it was a big problem for Murray for long time)

    Your prediction : Sloane Stephens to beat Monica Puig = Uhm ..ok

    Stephens vs Cetkovska 7-6 0-6 6-4

    Stephens vs Petkovic 7-6 2-6 8-6

    Stephens (USA) vs Hampton (USA) 6-3 6-3

    But I think Miss Stephen to much difficulty on grass, if she loses the 1er set I do not see win the second set.


    Your prediction - Vinci to beat Li = I do not

    your prediction Klara Zakopalova to beat Li Na in 3 sets = Li vs Zakopalova 4-6 6-0 8-6

    your Prediction - Halep to beat Li in 3 sets = Li vs Halep 6-2 1-6 6-0


    I think you do not like Li Na :-P


    Your prediction - Bartoli to beat Knapp ….. Bartoli is the sister hidden of Benoit Pair :-P

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    1. Beautiful photos of tweets :-))

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  2. Lol this tournament is so unpredictable-might as well go along with the trend and predict more upsets. Li Na is very unpredictable but she seems to show consistency in this tournament ableit in lots of 3 setters-which is already evidence of her unpredictability-I mean in a tournament with so many upsets y not have Li Na first on the list?
    As for myself I have an eery feeling about Serena and Lisicki. As usual the no.1 is overhyped and in my opinon Serena is far from invincible.
    Lisicki is in good form and often pulls an upset in this tournament. Serena will have to notch it up as her previous rounds featured significantly poorer opponents than Lisicki. 50-50 for me.

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  3. Lajiao, true about Robson and the pressure. I'm a Brit so I HAVE to go for Laura! I have nothing against Li (I quite like her actually!), but I find her vulnerable in this tournament. All of Li's matches have been tough this week, but she has done well to come through. I'm 50-50 on her match with Vinci.

    Aachoo Crony, I'm glad you say 50-50 for Serena-Lisicki because I thought I was mad to say Serena in 3 sets. I have a good feeling for Sabine and really hope she makes it a fantastic match.

    Can't wait for tomorrow :-)

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  4. Seems like you're against li na everytime lol. I think she will prove u wrong again has has the better record against vinci. To lose 6-0 in a set? Really

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