Thursday 5 July 2012

Wimbledon: Mens Semi-Final Predictions for Day 11

The mens tournament has seen a host of upsets this week, but the semi-finals still represents a bumper line-up.  Lets take a look at the matches...

Roger Federer v Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic
The debate about equal prize money was once again raised this week with some comments by Giles Simon, but what was interesting to note is that Federer and Djokovic's quarter-final wins took less time than three of the womens quarter-finals! Federer was the most impressive as he completely destroyed Mikhail Youzhny, 6-1 6-2 6-2, who at one point even asked for some tips from the Royal Box as to what he could do to stop Federer.  Djokovic was tested more, but after saving three break points at 4-4 in the first set, he never looked back as he recorded a 6-4 6-1 6-4 victory over Florian Mayer.

Surprisingly, Federer and Djokovic have never played at Wimbledon before, which makes this a salivating prospect.  Federer leads the overall head-to-head by 14 wins to 12, but Djokovic definitely holds an edge in their most recent matches winning their last three matches including a decidely dour affair in the semi-finals of Roland Garros last month.  I think this match will be much more entertaining and although many people are thinking this is Federer's big opportunity at another Grand Slam, I think Djokovic will raise his game tomorrow...
Prediction - Djokovic to beat Federer in 4 sets

Andy Murray v Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
Andy Murray
Last year's two losing semi-finalists will go up against one another on Friday with both knowing that one of them will get a chance to win the whole caboodle.  Murray has been raising his game in each round and produced easily his finest performance of the tournament with a 6-7 7-6 6-4 7-6 victory over David Ferrer.  Both played their hearts out in a thoroughly entertaining match, but Murray had the edge in the key moments.  Tsonga was not at his best, but found a way past Philipp Kohlschreiber in 4 sets, 7-6 4-6 7-6 6-2.  The Frenchman has been aided by his booming serve, which has been difficult to break all week.

Murray will feel this is his chance to at least get to the final of his home Grand Slam.  He holds a 5-1 head-to-head lead over Tsonga including a win in the Wimbledon quarter-finals in 2010 and a three set victory in that superb final at Queens last year.  This match will be a whole lot different to his most recent semi-finals against Nadal and will favour Murray more because of his excellent returning skills.  Therefore i'm going for Murray to reach the Wimbledon final... come on Murrrrray!
Prediction - Murray to beat Tsonga in 4 sets

You can view my original predictions for the mens draw HERE.  Like the womens, I missed the boat by going for Nadal to win.  However, I did redeem myself somewhat by correctly predicting the winners and scorelines of all 4 quarter-finals yesterday :-)

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